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Quick Post Quick Post Howard September 24, 2019 R Markdown Test math \(E=mc^2\) a=1:100 plot(a^2 ~ a, type="l")
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quick_post3.utf8.md R Markdown This is an R Markdown document. Markdown is a simple formatting syntax for authoring HTML, PDF, and MS Word documents. For more details on using R Markdown see http://rmarkdown.rstudio.com. When you click the Knit button a document will be generated that includes both content as well as the output of any embedded …
Gas Optimization, Transaction Simulation, and Portfolio Tracking: A Safer DeFi Workflow
A common misconception in DeFi is that a transaction is safe if the wallet shows a familiar token amount and the gas fee looks reasonable. In reality, low cost and low risk are different properties. A cheap transaction can authorize a malicious contract, route assets through an unexpected call, or leave an approval active long …
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Latex Test
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Presidential Election: The final week
Into the final stretch now, Clinton’s lead is shrinking sharply from over 8% in the middle of October to 5.4% today. She is still in a commanding position, but a continued fall combined with the Comey e-mail disclosures could make for a much closer race then was expected just a couple of weeks ago. The …
Post Second Debate
Update: October 17, 2016 Probability of Clinton Win: 98% | Probability of Trump Win: 2% Clinton – Trump Spread: 7.3% The race has remained fairly static over the last week. It seems as if Trump’s base is mostly sticking with him despite the parade of women who, over the last week, claimed that he was sexually inappropriate with …
Going into the Second Presidential Debate
October 9, 2016 Probability of Clinton Win: 95% | Probability of Trump Win: 5% Clinton – Trump Spread: 6% All the current polls were conducted before the news on Friday . One would think that the relentlessly negative reporting over the last couple of days will be further damaging to Trump. This is the state of the race …
The Effect of the First Presidential Debate
October 1, 2016 Probability of Clinton Win: 88% | Probability of Trump Win: 12% Clinton – Trump Spread: 4.4% There has been a clear and substantial swing in voter sentiment towards Clinton following the first presidential debate. Trump compounded the effect of the debate by a bad follow up week. Most of the polls were conducted before …
Gaussian Process Models for Actuarial Science
We have written in collaboration Professor Michael Ludkowski and Ph.D candidate James Risk of U.C. Santa Barbara, a paper introducing Gaussian Processes (GPs) to the actuarial community. Our paper has focused on a practical implementation of GPs in mortality analysis. A pre-publication version of the paper can be found here: https://arxiv.org/abs/1608.08291 GPs are an extremely powerful …