We Have Moved Offices
Elucidor has moved across the road. Our new address is: Elucidor, LLC 140 Broadway, 46th Floor New York, NY 10005 Tel: 212.532.6433 info@elucidor.com
Predictive Analytics Presentation on ERM to the Actuarial Society of New York
Howard Zail from Elucidor and Nefissa Sator from Forsides Actuary recently delivered a joint presentation to the Actuarial Society of New York on “Solvency II and Predictive Analytics in LTC and Beyond: How U.S. companies can improve Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) by using Advanced techniques developed for Solvency II and emerging predictive analytics methods”. The presentation was …
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Data Science Articles
Here are some recent articles about data science that are worth reading: On Data Science education: Data Science should not be taught in business schools White House To Universities: We Need More Data Scientists Around the industry: IBM to open up Watson to third party developers Research Methods: How Science goes Wrong
Bayesian Analytics and the Presidential Election
Something interesting happened in the lead up to the presidential election. Most of the mainstream media outlets were predicting a statistical dead heat between Obama and Romney, and only towards the end did some in the media start reporting that Obama had a razor thin margin. However, this so-called statistical tie was at odds with …
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Predictive Analytics in Long-Term Care
Howard Zail, partner at Elucidor, will be presenting ideas on predictive analytics in long-term care at the 2012 Society of Actuaries (SOA) annual conference. He will present on Tuesday, October 16 in “Session 112: Hot Topics in Long Term Care Insurance.” Howard will describe how advances in predictive analytics can be applied in an insurance environment …
Turing Award goes to Bayesian Network Specialist
The Turing Award, which is the computer science equivalent of the Nobel Prize, was awarded to Judea Pearl. Pearl was honored for his contributions to artificial intelligence. He championed a probabilistic way of creating smart computer systems rather than building a set of rules. These systems are encapsulated in Bayesian Networks. Bayesian analysis forms a …
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Ken Watson joins Elucidor
We are pleased to announce that Ken Watson has joined Elucidor as Principal. Ken is a leading rehabilitation and turnaround manager. He has steered a number of life insurance, property and casualty insurance and other companies through turnaround and administration. Ken’s past successes include managing the largest and most successful life insurance rehabilitation in U.S. …
Lotter Actuarial Partners is now Elucidor
In 1994, I formed Lotter Actuarial Partners, Inc., an actuarial consulting firm specializing in buy-side insurance company appraisals, mortality science and critical illness product design and underwriting. Over the ensuing years, Lotter Actuarial Partners was fortunate to attract talented and creative actuaries, systems analysts, programmers, medical doctors, underwriters and other professionals who brought additional expertise …
Elucidor can Analyze your Critical Illness Experience
Elucidor can help you get the most out of your Critical Illness experience data. Because Critical Illness insurance is such a new product, there is very little data available to price benefits. Using Elucidor’s proprietary predictive modeling engine, DeepInsight!, it is possible to determine within a few short years of writing new Critical Illness business …
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Social Security Disability Program Articles
The attached opinion piece by Robert Samuelson in the Washington Post references an article by David H. Autor of MIT. The article describes some of the problems of Social Security’s Disability Program and the failure of past reforms, and reviews three different proposals that attempt to mitigate the problems.